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Ammendum to my last post about Iran

I'll leave this public, because I'm smart, and when I say smart shit, I like it to be viewable.

With us about to invade Iran, it makes me think about a book that is milleniums old, the Art of War. Yes, a lot of things in that book no longer apply, such as Chariots, and the believe in heaven and earth and all that shit. But a lot of what's in there has been applicable to warfare for decades, centuries... milleniums. That's a thousand years. In plural form.

Now, we're about to invade Iran, in what is likely the worst kept secret in history, next to that we were going to invade Iraq. I can not believe that with a populace that doesn't want to invade, a military that doesn't want to invade, a Congress that doesn't want to invade, and basically every check and balance we have saying "DON'T DO THIS!", that we're going to do it anyway, because King George says so; I sincerely think he should be executed for war crimes, I swear. This is rediculous.

But this not only seems like political suicide for someone megalomanical to begin with, but this is going to fail from a militaristic standpoint. Let's look at some of the very BASIC laws we've violated since 2003 until now:

- 3. The art of war, then, is governed by five constant
factors, to be taken into account in one's deliberations,
when seeking to determine the conditions obtaining in the field.

4. These are: (1) The Moral Law; (2) Heaven; (3) Earth;
(4) The Commander; (5) Method and discipline.

5,6. The Moral Law causes the people to be in complete
accord with their ruler, so that they will follow him
regardless of their lives, undismayed by any danger.

7. Heaven signifies night and day, cold and heat,
times and seasons.

8. Earth comprises distances, great and small;
danger and security; open ground and narrow passes;
the chances of life and death.

9. The Commander stands for the virtues of wisdom,
sincerely, benevolence, courage and strictness.

10. By method and discipline are to be understood
the marshaling of the army in its proper subdivisions,
the graduations of rank among the officers, the maintenance
of roads by which supplies may reach the army, and the
control of military expenditure.

11. These five heads should be familiar to every general:
he who knows them will be victorious; he who knows them
not will fail.

Some of these don't apply any more. But the fact of the matter is that there are multiple violations in just this section, all quoted because it's relevant.

For one, the Moral Law means that all people have to be in accord with the ruler. This means that people lose their objectivity, and would die willingly for the cause, and therefore, are capable of superhuman feats. This was not the case in Iraq, and it's DEFINATELY not the case in Iran! The people are against this, they were mostly against Iraq, recruiting is down, and morale among non-right wing nutjobs in America is at a low that I previously thought unfathomable in this country. This qualifies as failing the morality test.

Earth, believe it or not, is applicable today. We're fighting a war against a people basically on the other side of the world, in unfamiliar climate, unfamilar terrain, within many unfamilar narrow passes, and oh by the way, we're the only ones beind held to the Geneva Convention. That fails the common sense test, much less the Earth test, especially when you consider that we're at four years of this shit now. But we're going to go over the time issue later.

"The Commander stands for the virtues of wisdom, sincerely, benevolence, courage and strictness." George Bush basically fails all of them. And not only that, his lack of leadership, and his VP's lack of any kind of tact whatsoever, and the reaction of the people at home are taking their tolls on the soldiers, and as such, any attempts to hide the truth from the soldiers and sailors out there now is greeted with a lack of respect for their own commanders. Soldiers are not as stupid as people make them out to be; if anything, they're overly cynical. To begin with, they think everyone above them is lying to them to cover their own asses. The more educated ones also know of America's history of lying to it's own troops; in addition to the more public problems of the Vietnam War, the fact of the matter is that soldiers were getting more honest information - and more helpful, as this would tip off certain attacks - from Hanoi Hannah's radio show - a show distincly meant to demoralize American troops, make them feel homesick, and make them question their role in the war - than they got from Armed Forces radio, which might as well have been propoganda as all it had was what the government wanted the grunts to hear. This is not something lost on the people out there today, and these combining factors all lead to us failing the commander test.

Method and Discipline is the only one we actually win at, honestly. Our military is very good at waging war as far as conventional warfare goes. Since Guerilla warfare doesn't really fall into this, this is an advantage for America.

Now, technically, it's not advisable to wage war without all of those issues being acknowledged by reliable intelligence as being advantageous to the attacking party (more on this in a bit). From what I've shown, America is one for four. That's 25%. That's not even a good batting average in baseball. ANd therefore, we've failed ourselves and our military right off the bat.

- 18. All warfare is based on deception.

19. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable;
when using our forces, we must seem inactive; when we
are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away;
when far away, we must make him believe we are near.

In the media age, and a freedom of the press that, when it comes to war, has too much say, deception is all but impossible. However, we're not even hiding our intentions; we're basically saying "WE ARE GOING TO ATTACK IRAN, IT IS JUST A MATTER OF TIME! NOW, GUYS, DON'T GO BUILDING UP YOUR ARMIES! IT'S SUPPOSED TO BE A SECRET!". This is another grand failure by our country.

- 2. When you engage in actual fighting, if victory
is long in coming, then men's weapons will grow dull and
their ardor will be damped. If you lay siege to a town,
you will exhaust your strength.

3. Again, if the campaign is protracted, the resources
of the State will not be equal to the strain.

4. Now, when your weapons are dulled, your ardor damped,
your strength exhausted and your treasure spent,
other chieftains will spring up to take advantage
of your extremity. Then no man, however wise,
will be able to avert the consequences that must ensue.

This is a gross failure on the part of our government, made worse - and therefore, more demoralizing - by the whole "Mission Accomplished" crap. We have been in Iraq for four years now. With a dwindling recruit base, a public that is almost 100% against a draft, and hidden, guerilla style attacks on our troops, and our existing soldiers and commanders being extended and stop-lossed into shell shock, I'd say our fucking weapons are well dulled. And this goes with...

6. There is no instance of a country having benefited
from prolonged warfare.

- 1. Sun Tzu said: In the practical art of war, the best
thing of all is to take the enemy's country whole and intact;
to shatter and destroy it is not so good. So, too, it is
better to recapture an army entire than to destroy it,
to capture a regiment, a detachment or a company entire
than to destroy them.</i>

Wow... so Iraq is now a country divided into three, with some people getting killed for so much as crossing the wrong street. I mean... this is getting comical.


I've only quoted into TWO CHAPTERS of a 13 chapter book here. If I were to go farther, I'd find plenty more. I could dissect the entire book and figure out every single way we went wrong, but really, since we've already violated just about every basic law of war that even little kids could learn, going farther into this would basically be redundant.

Let's just say, for the record, one thing: attacking Iran could be the worst decision we, as a collective people, could ever make. Actually, no... it could be the worst mistake one man could make. That's who's got this one.


Jan. 16th, 2007 08:03 am (UTC)
The Art of War is far reaching in its uses. In East Asia, bussinessmen are required by their companies tom read the book before becoming executives!

Also, lets look at this from a strictly military point of view:

The United States has around 150'000 troops in Iraq and can barely spare another 30'000 more. The Iranian armed forces have around 350'000 soldiers. Although true that these are mostly conscripts (around 200'000) with little military training, they will more likely put up a far greater fight than the demoralised Iraqi Army in 2003.

The bigger threat is from the pasdaren, the iranian revoltionary gaurd. It's true they are highly trained but its nothing compared to US soldiers and they always have supply difficulties due to the arms embargo. No, the thing I'm most scared about? The Basij unit of the Rev. Gaurd. Basiclly a paramilitary unit with 300'000 members that can mobilize 11 million men and women in weeks to resist the invasion.

Considering the iraqi inusrgency numbers no more than 20'000......D:

Forget insurgency tactics, teh basij can just do human wave attacks like during the 1980-88 Iraq Iran war and demoralise American troops with the insanity of the war. D:
Jan. 16th, 2007 02:50 pm (UTC)
Iraq had a huge army of barely-trained half-civilians in the Gulf War; they proved a highly ineffective (and surrender-prone) fighting force, and that was when Iraq was a powerful nation militarily.

I don't doubt that the U.S. military could steamroll a legitimate military resistance, but we've already seen that making them stand on a street corner waiting for guerillas to kill them doesn't work. Add that to the fact that we simply don't fucking need another war and shouldn't be playing god to begin with, and we're in a bad way if we attack Iran.


Mr. Met
Superbus the BRAVE!!!

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